Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 12.009994 13.517134 15.222820 17.313645 19.831726 22.798215 26.605334
2025-03-30 9.704491 11.500844 13.693103 16.618429 20.504425 25.619610 33.098952
2025-04-06 8.287140 10.133179 12.493514 15.819608 20.538484 27.256354 38.091855
2025-04-13 7.329091 9.174690 11.619600 15.214861 20.593644 28.770785 43.151229
2025-04-20 7.271932 9.370099 12.275167 16.786664 24.027034 36.077060 60.117895
2025-04-27 6.921471 9.107514 12.234135 17.293686 25.870186 41.234574 75.427493
2025-05-04 6.347806 8.465203 11.557626 16.698773 25.739833 42.785615 83.869054
2025-05-11 6.098450 8.268675 11.522118 17.119618 27.444227 48.288417 104.497185
2025-05-18 5.738539 7.873699 11.135505 16.890359 27.891800 51.309783 120.521376
2025-05-25 5.427433 7.527728 10.792098 16.687330 28.344033 54.463114 139.203566
2025-06-01 5.179151 7.259890 10.549379 16.629978 29.073037 58.489184 164.232272
2025-06-08 4.890432 6.908553 10.139251 16.215540 28.976390 60.421752 183.282310
2025-06-15 4.678255 6.677433 9.931903 16.198108 29.835377 65.465776 223.066044
2025-06-22 4.383056 6.294852 9.438575 15.578302 29.236991 66.266506 244.170102
2025-06-29 4.096673 5.910547 8.915661 14.847507 28.264551 65.686449 257.746925
2025-07-06 3.861909 5.599190 8.500618 14.293988 27.636745 66.038158 278.633370
2025-07-13 3.941919 5.814815 9.033249 15.731179 32.218195 85.724364 493.980365
2025-07-20 3.874827 5.775547 9.098771 16.193718 34.410942 98.471189 725.009020
2025-07-27 3.681736 5.508607 8.723043 15.650947 33.723713 99.278716 811.543664
2025-08-03 3.618254 5.463642 8.761156 16.034978 35.774273 113.292965 1248.012271
2025-08-10 3.487680 5.293744 8.549205 15.825817 36.029074 119.228156 1610.136863
2025-08-17 3.368419 5.138323 8.355659 15.640501 36.328478 125.720299 2137.916228
2025-08-24 3.271515 5.018344 8.223842 15.588137 37.046925 135.138009 3128.552253